Tropical Storm Nate

Forecast Advisory 2



951
WTNT25 KNHC 080250
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.5W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.5W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.3N 92.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 92.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.1N 92.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.7N 92.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.0N 94.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.5N 95.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 97.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 92.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




113
WTNT22 KNHC 080253
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 70.0W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 320SE 270SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 70.0W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 69.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 70.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.2N 69.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.9N 67.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 40.4N 61.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 220SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 46.6N 40.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 320SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 55.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 60.0N 6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 70.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN