Tropical Storm Nate
Forecast Advisory 7
692
WTNT24 KNHC 090849
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 56.2W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 56.2W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 55.5W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N 61.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 56.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
660
WTNT25 KNHC 090852
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 92.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N 92.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.7N 93.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.8N 94.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.9N 95.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.5N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 92.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
335
WTNT22 KNHC 090857
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 67.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 67.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 68.5W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 39.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 42.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 45.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 220SE 240SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 390SE 390SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 49.5N 30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 210SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 420SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 56.5N 10.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT... 0NE 360SE 420SW 0NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 67.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
