Tropical Storm Nate

Forecast Advisory 10

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690
WTNT24 KNHC 100249
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 59.5W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 40SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 59.5W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 59.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N 61.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N 63.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N 65.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.8N 67.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 34.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





073
WTNT25 KNHC 100250
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 93.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 75SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 110SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 93.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 92.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.2N 93.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.1N 94.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.8N 96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N 99.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 93.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN





292
WTNT22 KNHC 100251
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 58.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 40 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 230SE 170SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.3N 58.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 60.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 43.5N 50.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 200SE 180SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 47.3N 37.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 420SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.1N 25.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 420SE 420SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 55.6N 15.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 480SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 61.6N 1.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 420SE 300SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.3N 58.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/BLAKE