Tropical Storm Nate

Forecast Advisory 13

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582
WTNT24 KNHC 102032
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 62.4W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 62.4W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 62.0W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N 63.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.6N 65.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.9N 67.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N 68.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 90SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N 70.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





386
WTNT25 KNHC 102036
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM TUXPAN
TO VERACRUZ.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM SOUTH OF
VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 94.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 94.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 94.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.0N 95.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.9N 96.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.8N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.7N 98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 94.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN