Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 10

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677
WTNT21 KNHC 230850
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 51.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE 0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 51.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 50.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.3N 52.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 105SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N 55.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 58.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 25.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 51.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE