Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 14

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923
WTNT21 KNHC 240846
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 100SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 54.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 56.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 58.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.2N 60.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 55.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





362
WTNT22 KNHC 240854
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 25.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 25.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 24.6W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.1N 27.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.8N 29.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.7N 31.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.7N 33.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N 35.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N 37.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE