Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 18

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052
WTNT22 KNHC 250832
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 29.8W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 29.8W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 29.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.8N 31.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.9N 33.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.9N 34.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.2N 35.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 38.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 25.0N 38.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 29.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





798
WTNT21 KNHC 250840
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N 60.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.9N 61.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N 63.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.4N 64.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.8N 65.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI