Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 20



447
WTNT21 KNHC 252039
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 60.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 60.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 60.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.0N 62.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 63.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 60.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OPHELIA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT22 KNHC 252042
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 20SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 31.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N 33.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.1N 34.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 35.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N 36.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 38.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 39.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 31.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/STEWART




522
WTNT22 KNHC 252048
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 20SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 31.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N 33.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.1N 34.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 35.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N 36.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 38.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 39.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 31.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/STEWART