Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 41

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705
WTNT22 KNHC 022033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 52.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 52.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 52.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.2N 54.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 56.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.4N 59.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.5N 60.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 29.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 52.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





275
WTNT21 KNHC 022041
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
2100 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 59.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 29 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 480SE 360SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 59.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 60.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.2N 56.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.6N 48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 100SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 51.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 240SE 360SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 56.0N 25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 360SE 360SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N 59.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN