Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 14

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744
WTNT22 KNHC 271432
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 35.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 0SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 35.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 35.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N 36.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.6N 38.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 40.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.7N 41.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 24.0N 42.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 35.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH