Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 18

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281
WTNT21 KNHC 281430
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 59.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 59.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N 61.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N 61.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.2N 62.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 45.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 59.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





233
WTNT22 KNHC 281433
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 38.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 38.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 38.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.3N 39.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N 41.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 43.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 25.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 38.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH