Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 27

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549
WTNT22 KNHC 302041
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 46.2W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 46.2W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 45.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.2N 47.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N 49.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.7N 51.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.1N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 46.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





267
WTNT21 KNHC 302042
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 63.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 63.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 62.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 63.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N 62.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 34.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 90SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 63.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA