Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 43

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419
WTNT22 KNHC 042030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 60.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 60.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 59.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N 61.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.2N 61.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.3N 61.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.3N 60.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 32.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 36.5N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG