Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 47

---

947
WTNT22 KNHC 052052
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 61.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 61.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 61.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.6N 61.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.8N 59.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.8N 57.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N 55.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 41.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 45.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 61.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN