Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 48

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227
WTNT22 KNHC 060238
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0300 UTC THU OCT 06 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 61.0W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 61.0W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 61.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.4N 60.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.5N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.3N 56.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.8N 53.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 43.5N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 52.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN