Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 54

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726
WTNT22 KNHC 071441
TCMAT2

HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 54
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1500 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.5W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.5W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 56.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.1N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.7N 49.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 47.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 180SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 55.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY