Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 55

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042
WTNT22 KNHC 072031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 54.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 54.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N 51.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.0N 47.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 39.0N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 49.5N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 150SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 58.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 54.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY