Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 57

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291
WTNT22 KNHC 080834
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 50.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 50.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 51.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 41.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 52.5N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 58.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 50.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA