Hurricane Rina

Forecast Advisory 4

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842
WTNT23 KNHC 241433
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
1500 UTC MON OCT 24 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 82.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 82.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 82.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.4N 83.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 20SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 84.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.8N 84.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N 85.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.2N 87.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 82.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

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FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS