Hurricane Rina

Forecast Advisory 6

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777
WTNT23 KNHC 242041
TCMAT3

HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
2100 UTC MON OCT 24 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 83.1W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 83.1W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 83.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.2N 83.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.3N 84.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 85.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.1N 86.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.8N 87.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.5N 85.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 83.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN