Hurricane Rina

Forecast Advisory 11

---

748
WTNT23 KNHC 260248
TCMAT3

HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
0300 UTC WED OCT 26 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD
* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 84.8W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 50SE 45SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 84.8W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 84.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.9N 85.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 86.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.2N 86.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.3N 86.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 55SW 55NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 105NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 23.5N 82.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 84.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA