Hurricane Rina

Forecast Advisory 12

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188
WTNT23 KNHC 260841
TCMAT3

HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
0900 UTC WED OCT 26 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD
* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 85.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 85.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 85.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N 85.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.2N 86.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N 86.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 23.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 23.5N 82.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 85.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH