Hurricane Rina

Forecast Advisory 18

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837
WTNT23 KNHC 271439
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
1500 UTC THU OCT 27 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL
TO PROGRESO

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 87.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 87.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 87.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 87.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.1N 87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N 86.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.4N 86.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 20.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 19.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 87.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN