Tropical Depression Ten

Forecast Advisory 7

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602
WTNT25 KNHC 262031
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102011
2100 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 34.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 34.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 34.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.3N 34.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.2N 35.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.1N 36.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N 37.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 34.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





418
WTNT24 KNHC 262047
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
2100 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO
SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG
ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE
BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE

INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 77.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 125SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 77.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 77.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.4N 77.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N 76.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.2N 75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 41.8N 73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 40NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 50.5N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 90SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 56.5N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 58.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 77.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN