Tropical Storm Beryl

Forecast Advisory 4

---

689
WTNT22 KNHC 262054
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
2100 UTC SAT MAY 26 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 76.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 45SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 76.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 76.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.9N 77.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.4N 79.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 30.4N 81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.9N 82.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 31.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 34.0N 77.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 38.0N 70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 76.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN