Hurricane Chris

Forecast Advisory 1

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887
WTNT23 KNHC 192053
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012
2100 UTC TUE JUN 19 2012

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 57.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 57.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.2N 54.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.9N 46.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 43.3N 44.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 45.5N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 57.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN