Hurricane Chris

Forecast Advisory 5

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237
WTNT23 KNHC 202032
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012
2100 UTC WED JUN 20 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 49.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 80SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 240SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 49.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 50.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.4N 45.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 41.7N 42.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 44.3N 42.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 44.2N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN