Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 33

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292
WTNT25 KNHC 091438
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND
DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER COASTAL WACHES AND WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 94.3W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 94.3W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 93.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.8N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.0N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 94.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA