Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 3



301
WTNT23 KNHC 160834
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
0900 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GORDON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 54.8W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 54.8W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.5N 53.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.6N 50.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.5N 46.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.4N 42.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N 34.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 36.8N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 39.5N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 54.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE