Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 5



531
WTNT23 KNHC 162039
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
2100 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GORDON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 52.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 52.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 53.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.7N 49.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.9N 46.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.7N 42.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.7N 38.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.1N 30.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.8N 23.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.2N 15.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART