Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 16

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809
WTNT23 KNHC 191434
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 19 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN AZORES

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 29.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 29.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 30.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.5N 26.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 38.0N 23.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.2N 20.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.5N 19.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N 17.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 29.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN