Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 17



761
WTNT23 KNHC 192030
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
2100 UTC SUN AUG 19 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN AZORES

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 27.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 27.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 28.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 37.3N 24.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.8N 21.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.2N 19.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.2N 18.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 27.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN