Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 30



943
WTNT24 KNHC 281458
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1500 UTC TUE AUG 28 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED EAST OF DESTIN
FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 88.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 150SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 88.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 88.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.8N 89.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.7N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.0N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.0N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 38.5N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 41.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 88.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART