Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 35

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451
WTNT21 KNHC 292031
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 47.6W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 47.6W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 47.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.1N 48.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.7N 50.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 29.6N 51.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.9N 51.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 45.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 47.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





978
WTNT24 KNHC 292049
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 91.1W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 140SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 91.1W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 90.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.7N 91.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.0N 92.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 140SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.8N 93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 35.7N 93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.6N 91.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N 88.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 40.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 91.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART