Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 37



596
WTNT21 KNHC 300840
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0900 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 49.0W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 49.0W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 48.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.5N 50.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 29.3N 50.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.5N 50.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.2N 49.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 110SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 47.5N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




041
WTNT24 KNHC 300842
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
0900 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO
CAMERON IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 91.6W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 91.6W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 91.3W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.9N 92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 90SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.8N 93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 38.0N 93.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.5N 90.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 40.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 40.5N 82.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 91.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH