Tropical Storm Joyce
Forecast Advisory 3
153
WTNT25 KNHC 230232
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102012
0300 UTC THU AUG 23 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 39.5W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 39.5W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 38.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.4N 44.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.4N 46.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.6N 49.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 30.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 39.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
479
WTNT24 KNHC 230256
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
0300 UTC THU AUG 23 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR MARTINIQUE...GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST.
MARTIN.
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NORTHERN
BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
* HAITI
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 63.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 60SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 63.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 62.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.2N 65.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.9N 68.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 30SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 72.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.5N 77.0W...ON NORTH COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 24.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 27.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 63.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
