Hurricane Kirk
Forecast Advisory 4
764
WTNT21 KNHC 291434
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 46.9W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 46.9W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 46.5W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 25.3N 48.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.2N 50.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 27.8N 51.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 29.8N 52.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 48.5N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 46.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
022
WTNT24 KNHC 291440
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED EAST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA
BORDER
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 90.7W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 140SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 90.7W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 90.5W
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.2N 91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.2N 92.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.8N 93.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.6N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 38.0N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.0N 89.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 41.0N 85.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 90.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
