Hurricane Kirk

Forecast Advisory 18

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913
WTNT21 KNHC 020255
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 41.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 140SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 41.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 43.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 44.5N 38.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 150SE 140SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 50.0N 30.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 160SE 130SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 41.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





049
WTNT22 KNHC 020255
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 58.4W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 58.4W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 57.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.3N 60.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.1N 61.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.7N 62.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.8N 62.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN