Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 2



983
WTNT24 KNHC 302029
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 92.6W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 92.6W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 34.0N 93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.0N 93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 37.7N 92.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.6N 91.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.5N 88.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 39.5N 85.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 38.5N 82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 92.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 10 PM CDT.


$$
FORECASTER STEWART




654
WTNT22 KNHC 302036
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 45.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 45.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 44.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.3N 47.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N 50.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 53.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N 56.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 28.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 45.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




077
WTNT21 KNHC 302037
TCMAT1

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 50.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 50.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 50.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 29.5N 50.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.8N 50.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.4N 49.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.5N 46.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 44.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 51.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 50.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART