Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 6

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808
WTNT21 KNHC 312035
TCMAT1

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 50.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 50.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.3N 49.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.3N 46.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 41.2N 42.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 25SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 46.0N 36.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 50.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





320
WTNT22 KNHC 312036
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 51.0W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 51.0W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 50.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 53.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.9N 55.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N 58.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.1N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 51.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE