Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 7

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762
WTNT21 KNHC 010236
TCMAT1

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 49.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 49.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 50.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.1N 47.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 39.4N 44.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 43.7N 39.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 48.1N 33.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 49.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





606
WTNT22 KNHC 010244
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LESLIE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 52.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.3N 54.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.7N 57.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.1N 59.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.6N 60.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 26.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 52.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN