Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 9

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231
WTNT21 KNHC 011437
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 46.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 140SE 150SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 46.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 47.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 40.0N 43.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 44.3N 39.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 49.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 150SE 100SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 46.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





685
WTNT22 KNHC 011447
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 55.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 55.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.4N 57.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.0N 59.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.7N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.1N 62.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 27.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 29.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 55.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE