Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 13

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455
WTNT21 KNHC 021447
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.2N 36.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 32 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 200SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.2N 36.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.0N 38.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 51.1N 30.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...MERGED WITH FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.2N 36.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





433
WTNT22 KNHC 021455
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 61.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 61.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 60.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N 63.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.5N 63.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.2N 63.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.3N 63.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 28.3N 63.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 61.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN