Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 14

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516
WTNT22 KNHC 022045
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 61.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 61.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 61.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.3N 62.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.6N 62.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N 63.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.9N 62.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 61.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





345
WTNT21 KNHC 022046
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.7N 32.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 41 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 250SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.7N 32.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 48.1N 34.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 55.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 240SE 220SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.7N 32.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON KIRK. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UNITED KINGDOM METEOROLOGICAL
OFFICE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI