Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 15

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715
WTNT22 KNHC 030238
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 61.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 61.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 61.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.4N 62.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.4N 62.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.0N 62.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.6N 62.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 28.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 30.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 61.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH