Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 16

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730
WTNT22 KNHC 030844
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 62.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 62.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 62.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.7N 62.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N 62.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.1N 62.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.6N 62.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 27.6N 62.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 28.7N 63.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 30.8N 64.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 62.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART