Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 18

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047
WTNT22 KNHC 032030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 63.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 63.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 63.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 24.6N 63.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 63.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 28.1N 63.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 30.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





811
WTNT23 KNHC 032057
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 42.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 42.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 42.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.8N 42.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.4N 43.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.3N 44.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 30.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 42.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN