Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 19

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922
WTNT22 KNHC 040255
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 63.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 63.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 63.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.6N 63.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.2N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 31.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





907
WTNT23 KNHC 040258
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 42.8W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 42.8W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 42.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.3N 43.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N 44.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.8N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.5N 44.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 42.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN