Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 21

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209
WTNT22 KNHC 041433
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 62.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 150SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 62.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 62.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.8N 62.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.5N 63.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 29.2N 64.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 62.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/ZELINSKY





804
WTNT23 KNHC 041436
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 43.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 43.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 43.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.7N 44.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.5N 44.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N 43.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 43.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA