Hurricane Leslie

Forecast Advisory 22

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646
WTNT22 KNHC 042030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 62.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 200SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 62.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 62.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.1N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.9N 62.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 29.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 34.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 62.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/CANGIALOSI





334
WTNT23 KNHC 042048
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 43.7W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 43.7W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 43.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.1N 43.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.8N 43.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.4N 43.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.9N 42.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.9N 43.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 32.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 43.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN